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Published ahead of print on February 8, 2008, doi:10.1164/rccm.200712-1786OC

Am. J. Respir. Crit. Care Med., Volume 177, Number 9, May 2008, 1018-1025

A more recent version of this article appeared on May 1, 2008
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Submitted on December 5, 2007
Accepted on February 8, 2008

Growth-differentiation Factor-15 for Prognostic Assessment of Patients with Acute Pulmonary Embolism

Mareike Lankeit1, Tibor Kempf2, Claudia Dellas1, Mayumi Cuny1, Heike Tapken2, Timo Peter2, Manfred Olschewski3, Stavros Konstantinides1*, and Kai C Wollert2

1 Department of Cardiology and Pulmonology, University of Goettingen, Goettingen, Germany, 2 Department of Cardiology and Angiology, Hannover University Medical School, Hannover, Germany, 3 Department of Medical Biometry and Statistics, University of Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany

* To whom correspondence should be addressed. E-mail: skonstan{at}med.uni-goettingen.de.

Rationale: Growth-differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15) is a cytokine induced in the heart after ischemia or pressure overload. Circulating levels of GDF-15 provide independent prognostic information in patients with acute coronary syndromes or heart failure. Objectives: We investigated the prognostic value of GDF-15 in acute pulmonary embolism. Methods: In a prospective cohort study, plasma levels of GDF-15 were determined by immunoradiometric assay in 123 consecutive patients with confirmed acute pulmonary embolism. Measurements and Main Results: GDF-15 concentrations on admission ranged from 553 to 47274 ng/L; 101 patients (82%) had GDF-15 levels above the upper limit of normal (1200 ng/L). Patients who suffered pulmonary embolism-related complications during the first 30 days had higher baseline levels of GDF-15 (median, 6039 [25th to 75th percentiles, 2778 to 19772] ng/L) compared to those with an uncomplicated course (median, 2036 [25th to 75th percentiles, 1279 to 3176] ng/L; P<0.001). By multivariable logistic regression analysis, which included clinical characteristics, cardiac biomarkers (troponin T and NT-proBNP), and echocardiographic findings, GDF-15 emerged as an independent predictor of a complicated 30-day outcome (P=0.033). The c-statistic for GDF-15 was 0.84 (95% confidence interval, 0.76-0.90), as compared to 0.72 for cardiac troponin T, and 0.65 for NT-proBNP. The ability of troponin T, NT-proBNP, and echocardiographic findings of right ventricular dysfunction to predict the risk of a complicated 30-day outcome was enhanced by GDF-15. Furthermore, multivariable Cox regression identified baseline levels of GDF-15 as an independent predictor of long-term mortality (P<0.001). Conclusions. GDF-15 is a promising new biomarker for risk stratification of pulmonary embolism.


Key words: pulmonary embolism, prognosis, risk stratification, growth-differentiation factor-15




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