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Published ahead of print on February 8, 2008, doi:10.1164/rccm.200706-813OC

Am. J. Respir. Crit. Care Med., Volume 177, Number 9, May 2008, 989-994

A more recent version of this article appeared on May 1, 2008
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Submitted on June 4, 2007
Accepted on February 7, 2008

Physician's Case Volume of ICU Pneumonia Admissions and In-hospital Mortality

Herng-Ching Lin1*, Sudha Xirasagar2, Chi-Hung Chen3, and Yi-Ting Hwang4

1 School of Health Care Administration, Taipei Medical University, Taipei, Taiwan, 2 Arnold School of Public Health, Department of Health Services Policy and Management, University of South Carolina, Columbia, SC, USA, 3 Intensive Care Unit, Taipei Medical University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan, 4 Department of Statistics, National Taipei University, Taipei, Taiwan

* To whom correspondence should be addressed. E-mail: henry11111{at}tmu.edu.tw.

Rationale: Although several studies have investigated volume-outcome relationships for surgical procedures, there has been no such study of ICU patients admitted for pneumonia. Objective: This study examines associations between in-hospital mortality of ICU-admitted pneumonia patients and their attending physician's case volume. Methods: We used 2002~2004 claims data from Taiwan's National Health Insurance, for all 87,479 adult ICU admissions for pneumonia. Patients were assigned to one of four groups, based on their physician's ICU pneumonia case volume (low-volume = <36 cases, medium-volume = 37-114, high-volume = 118-314, and very-high-volume ≥ 315 cases). Generalized estimating equations (conditional on hospital, and unconditional) were used, adjusting for physician demographics and specialty, hospital characteristics, patient characteristics (including clinical severity and co-morbidities), and physician-level random effect (clustering effect) to assess whether physicians' case volume predicts in-hospital mortality. Main results: In-hospital mortality systematically declined with increasing physician case volume; 14.7%, 14.3%, 11.4% and 8.1% from low-volume to very-high-volume groups. Adjusted unconditional odds of mortality among low-volume physicians' patients was 2.04 times that of very-high-volume physicians, 1.35 times that of high-volume physicians, and 1.09 times those of medium-volume physicians (all p<0.001). The relationship is sustained when the odds are estimated conditional on hospital, when initial 5-day mortality is separated from 30-day mortality, and when pulmonologists'and critical care specialists' patients are studied separately. Conclusions: Physician volume significantly predicts inpatient mortality among ICU pneumonia patients. Detailed study of clinical approaches, decision algorithms, and treatment plans of high volume physicians is recommended to identify possible mediating factors in this phenomenon.


Key words: intensive care unit; pneumonia; outcome assessment







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