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Published ahead of print on September 6, 2007, doi:10.1164/rccm.200703-435OC

Am. J. Respir. Crit. Care Med., Volume 176, Number 12, December 2007, 1281-1288

A more recent version of this article appeared on December 15, 2007
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Submitted on March 16, 2007
Accepted on September 6, 2007

Heredity versus Environment in Tuberculosis in Twins. Simonds and Comstock Re-visited

Ellen A van der Eijk1, Esther van de Vosse1, Jan P Vandenbroucke2, and Jaap T van Dissel1*

1 Department of Infectious Diseases, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands, 2 Department of Clinical Epidemiology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands

* To whom correspondence should be addressed. E-mail: j.t.van_dissel{at}lumc.nl.

Background: In his 1978 paper on tuberculosis (TB) in twins, Comstock concluded that the 2.5-fold higher concordance rate for TB among monozygotic versus dizygotic twins in the Prophit Survey of the 1950s implicated inherited susceptibility as major risk factor for TB in humans. His analysis did not take into account strong imbalance of variables within subgroups, underestimating possible confounding effects of environmental factors. Objectives, design, methods: To reconsider environmental versus hereditary factors in TB among twin pairs, we reanalysed the Prophit Survey. Results: A known M. tuberculosis-positive or -negative sputum in the index TB case markedly influenced the odds ratio of concordance in the twin pairs. In 87 pairs with co-twins exposed to a sputum-negative index case, monozygotic and dizygotic twins did not differ in concordance for TB (OR 1.1 95%-CI: 0.4-2.8). A higher concordance rate for TB among monozygotic versus dizygotic twins was confined to 106 pairs with the co-twins exposed to a sputum-positive index case (OR 3.4 95%-CI: 1.6-7.2), in particular to adolescent twins living together. Odds ratios of TB concordance were proportional to intensity of exposure (sputum smear positivity, physical proximity between twin pairs, contagiousness of disease and living together) rather than to zygosity. Interpretation: In the Prophit Survey of susceptibility to TB among twins environmental factors (i.e., intensity of exposure to tubercle bacilli) outweigh the importance of hereditary, host genetic factors. Environmental factors and the context of transmission should be given more emphasis when studying interindividual and population differences in susceptibility to infectious diseases such as TB.


Key words: tuberculosis, human genetics, heredity, twins




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