Published ahead of print on May 13, 2005, doi:10.1164/rccm.200502-212OC
© 2005 American Thoracic Society doi: 10.1164/rccm.200502-212OC
Pretransplant Lung Function, Respiratory Failure, and Mortality after Stem Cell TransplantationClinical Research Division, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center; and Health Services Research and Development, VA Puget Sound Health Care System, Department of Veterans Affairs, Seattle, Washington Correspondence and requests for reprints should be addressed to Jason W. Chien, M.D., Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, 1100 Fairview Avenue North, Suite D5-280, Seattle, WA 98109-1024. E-mail: jchien{at}fhcrc.org
Rationale: The role of pulmonary function before stem cell transplant as a potential risk factor for the development of early post-transplant respiratory failure and mortality is controversial. Methods: We conducted a retrospective analysis of the pretransplant pulmonary function of 2,852 patients who received their transplant between 1990 and 2001. Measurements: Pretransplant FEV1, FVC, total lung capacity (TLC), diffusing capacity of carbon monoxide (DLCO), and the alveolar–arterial oxygen tension difference P(A-a)O2 were measured and assessed for association with development of early respiratory failure and mortality in Cox proportional hazard logistic models. Main Results: In multivariate analyses, progressive decrease of all lung function parameters was associated with a stepwise increase in risk of developing early respiratory failure and mortality when assessed in independent models. On the basis of a significant correlation between FEV1 and FVC (r = 0.81), FEV1 and TLC (r = 0.61), and FVC and TLC (r = 0.80), and a lack of correlation between FEV1 and DLCO, we developed a pretransplant lung function score based on pretransplant FEV1 and DLCO to determine the extent of pulmonary compromise before transplant. Multivariate analysis indicated that higher pretransplant lung function scores are associated with a significant increased risk for developing early respiratory failure (category II hazard ratio [HR], 1.4; category III HR, 2.2; category IV HR, 3.1; p < 0.001) and death (category II HR, 1.2; category III HR, 2.2; category IV HR, 2.7; p < 0.005). Conclusions: These results suggest that not only does compromised pretransplant lung function contribute to the risk for development of early respiratory failure and mortality but this risk may be estimated before transplant by grading the extent of FEV1 and DLCO compromise.
Key Words: bone marrow transplantation • mortality • pretransplant pulmonary function tests • respiratory failure Pulmonary function tests (PFTs) are routinely performed before hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HCT) as a screen for underlying respiratory abnormalities and to provide baseline lung function measurements. Pretransplant studies serve as comparison studies for post-transplant PFTs that are obtained when HCT-related pulmonary complications are suspected. Although the uses of pretransplant PFTs are well accepted, little is known about their relationship with post-transplant complications, such as early post-transplant respiratory failure and mortality (1). Studies that have examined the predictive value of pretransplant PFTs for post-transplant complications suggest that poor lung function before transplant increases the risk for post-transplant pulmonary complications (2–6) and mortality (3, 7, 8). These findings were not, however, confirmed in the largest study conducted by Crawford and Fisher (9), in 1992, which did not find spirometric or lung volume measurements to be associated with mortality. In addition, the majority of these analyses disagreed on which pretransplant lung function parameter was the strongest predictor of post-transplant pulmonary complications and mortality and they were limited by relatively small cohorts consisting of both autologous and allogeneic HCT patients (1, 4–6, 8). Given the conflicting conclusions of previous studies and the significant changes in HCT care over the last decade, we conducted a 12-year retrospective cohort study to assess whether compromised pretransplant pulmonary function is associated with an increased risk for developing early respiratory failure and post-transplant mortality among adult allogeneic HCT patients. Some of the results of these studies have been previously reported in the form of an abstract (10).
Patient Selection All patients who underwent allogeneic HCT at Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center between January 1, 1990, and December 31, 2001, were eligible for the study (n = 3,765). Patients who were younger than 15 years (n = 289) and without a pretransplant PFT (n = 624) were excluded.
Clinical Data
Lung Function Testing
Early-Onset Respiratory Failure
Statistical Methods
Clinical Characteristics and Baseline Lung Function The clinical characteristics of 2,852 patients are summarized in Table 1. The median number of days before transplant that PFTs were performed was 25 days (range, 5–344 days). Pretransplant spirometric measurements before HCT were complete for the entire cohort. Of these, 2,823 (98.9%), 2,811 (98.5%), and 1,311 (39.6%) patients had TLC, DLCO, and arterial blood gas measurements before transplant, respectively. Over 80% of the patients had a normal FEV1, FVC, FEV1/FVC, TLC, and DLCO before transplant (Table 2). Among 1,311 patients who had an arterial blood gas performed, the median P(A-a)O2 was 5.4 (range, 0–52.9) mm Hg. There were 1,115 (85%), 140 (11%), and 56 (4%) patients who had a P(A-a)O2 of less than 20, 20 to 30, and greater than 30 mm Hg, respectively.
Pretransplant Lung Function and Early Respiratory Failure Early respiratory failure developed in 396 of 2,852 patients (14%). The median number of days after transplant to respiratory failure was 21 days (range, 1–120 days). The median numbers of total ventilator days was 5 days (range, 1–110 days). A total of 359 patients (91%) died after receiving mechanical ventilator support. In comparison to patients who did not develop early respiratory failure, patients with respiratory failure were more likely to have impaired lung function. Univariate analysis demonstrated that pretransplant FEV1, FVC, TLC, DLCO, and P(A-a)O2 were more likely to be reduced among patients who developed early respiratory failure (Table 3). In independent multivariable analyses for each lung function parameter, the association of reduced pretransplant lung function and development of early respiratory failure was significant for FVC, TLC, and DLCO less than 80% and for P(A-a)O2 of more than 30 mm Hg. Pretransplant FEV1 of less than 70% was significantly associated with presence of early respiratory failure. All of these models included other potential risk factors for developing early respiratory failure, such as age at transplant, disease risk at transplant, donor HLA status, stem cell source, cytomegalovirus serology, conditioning regimens, and the presence of acute GVHD.
Pretransplant Lung Function and Post-Transplant Mortality Kaplan-Meier analyses indicated that a significant stepwise increase in mortality risk was associated with progressively worse pretransplant lung function, regardless of which pulmonary function parameter was used (Figures 1A–1D). Univariate analysis demonstrated that pretransplant FEV1, FVC, TLC, DLCO, and P(A-a)O2 were more likely to be compromised among patients who died (Table 4). After adjustments that included other risk factors for post-transplant mortality (age at transplant, disease risk at transplant, donor HLA status, cytomegalovirus serology, stem cell sources, conditioning regimens, presence of acute and chronic GVHD, and disease relapse), a significant increase in mortality risk was not observed until the lung function parameters were less than 70%, or the P(A-a)O2 was greater than 20 mm Hg (Table 4).
The Pretransplant Lung Function Score Because PFT parameters represent variables that are not likely to be independent predictors of the outcome variables, we assessed for potential significant correlation between the individual PFT parameters. FEV1 significantly correlated with FVC (r = 0.81) and TLC (r = 0.61). FVC was also significantly correlated with TLC (r = 0.80). There was no significant correlation between DLCO and any of the other PFT parameters (DLCO and FEV1, r = 0.35; DLCO and FVC, r = 0.42; DLCO and TLC, r = 0.38). Given the significant correlation between FEV1, FVC, and TLC, and lack of correlation between the DLCO and these parameters, we investigated whether lung function measured by both the FEV1 and the DLCO together would result in a stronger association with the outcomes of interest. Using the current categories, we assigned a separate score to the pretransplant FEV1 and DLCO of 2,811 patients (> 80% = 1, 70–80% = 2, 60–70% = 3, < 60% = 4) These scores were then summed and divided into four categories as the pretransplant lung function score (LFS; Table 5). Comparison of the independent FEV1, DLCO, and P(A-a)O2 Kaplan-Meier survival curves with the pretransplant LFS curves indicated the LFS curves were more clearly associated with the survival probability (Figure 1D). Multivariable analysis demonstrated that, in contrast to the independent FEV1 and DLCO models, each successively higher LFS category was associated with a significant increase in risk for development of both outcomes (Tables 6 and 7). Univariate analysis of the pretransplant LFS stratified by the conditioning regimen (Figure 2) indicates that the survival probability was lowest for patients with a pretransplant LFS in category IV who received a TBI-based regimen (Figures 2C and 2D).
The pretransplant PFTs play an important role in the management of HCT patients. These tests are widely used as part of standard assessments to help the clinician identify patients with compromised lung function before transplant. However, the potential post-transplant implications of abnormal pretransplant PFTs remain elusive and controversial, probably because only a few small studies have been conducted to examine this issue. One moderately sized study by Ghalie and colleagues (2) found that a reduced pretransplant FEV1 is associated with the development of early post-transplant pulmonary complications, defined as a localized or diffuse pulmonary infiltrate, pulmonary hemorrhage, and adult respiratory distress syndrome. Other studies have found an association between pretransplant lung function and early mortality (7, 9). In 1992, Crawford and Fisher (9) conducted a study at Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center on 1,297 patients that found pretransplant spirometric and lung volume measurements were not useful in predicting mortality risk during the first year after transplant. However, this study did find a DLCO of less than 80% and a P(A-a)O2 difference of more than 20 mm Hg were associated with a small increased risk of mortality. Goldberg and coworkers (7) also found that a decreased pretransplant DLCO (< 52%) was associated with mortality within the first 100 days after HCT in 378 patients (p = 0.02). In addition, they also found a mildly decreased FEV1 (< 78%; p = 0.0002) was significantly associated with early mortality. The results of the current study are in general agreement with the findings of previous smaller studies; patients with abnormal lung function before transplant are likely to be at higher risk for developing post-transplant pulmonary complications and mortality. Unique to our data is the finding that all PFT parameters, as well as the P(A-a)O2 difference, were significantly associated with early respiratory failure and mortality. Our multivariate analyses demonstrated that there was a significant step-wise increase in risk associated with incremental compromise of pretransplant lung function as measured by all of the parameters. This is in contrast to the previous studies that demonstrated associations with select mildly or moderately decreased lung function. Part of the robustness of our results can be attributed to the size of our study cohort, which provided sufficient power to detect these associations with the most severely compromised lung function category for all of the parameters. An important aspect of our study is the finding that, when the pretransplant FEV1 and DLCO are considered together as the pretransplant LFS, they appear to represent a more discriminating variable for risk of early respiratory failure and mortality than when they are considered independently. This is likely because the FEV1 and DLCO represent different sensitive surrogate markers of a patient's physiologic state. FEV1 is a well recognized measure of lung function that is affected by both obstructive and restrictive pulmonary processes. Although the causes of an obstructive pattern on PFTs are limited to the airway, a restrictive pattern on the PFTs can be secondary to parenchymal and/or nonparenchymal changes, both of which can be affected by many conditions common in our population, such as advanced malignant disease, thoracic radiation and/or chemotherapy, generalized muscle weakness, or spinal cord compression. The DLCO reflects the availability of the pulmonary–capillary surface area and is affected by a number of factors, including alveolar membrane thickness, hemoglobin level, cardiac function, and heterogeneity of regional ventilation and perfusion (19, 20). Reduction of the pretransplant DLCO likely represents an abnormality in one or more of these factors, which can also be caused by advanced malignant disease, thoracic radiation and/or chemotherapy, as well as other processes, such as previous thoracic surgery or severe pulmonary infections. When the pretransplant FEV1 and DLCO are considered together, they may be a more comprehensive marker than FEV1, FVC, FEV1/FVC, TLC, DLCO, or P(A-a)O2 considered alone for the presence of pretransplant lung injury and compromised health status before transplant. There are two other important findings in our study that are related to mortality risk. First, we demonstrate that the mortality rate among patients who develop early respiratory failure requiring mechanical ventilation was extremely high. This is in agreement with previous studies that found the mortality rate of bone marrow transplant patients who receive mechanical ventilation ranges from 82 to 96% (summarized by Bach and colleagues [21]). Despite the many significant methodologic differences between these studies, including differences in institutional practice, changes in physician behavior, and differences in patient populations and diagnoses, as well as significant advancements in the development of conditioning regimens, immunosuppressive agents, and prophylactic antibiotic protocols, the fact remains that the observed survival rate after mechanical ventilation at many transplant centers remains low over the last two decades. Given the strength of the association we identified between the pretransplant LFS and the development of respiratory failure, these data may be useful when counseling a transplant candidate with abnormal pretransplant lung function about the risks and outcome for developing early respiratory failure and mechanical ventilation. Second, our analysis demonstrates for the first time a potential interaction between the conditioning regimen and pretransplant lung function that appears to affect the mortality risk. No patients who were within the highest LFS category and received a TBI-based regimen survived beyond 2 years after transplant. When reviewing these data, it is important to avoid overinterpretation of the results. As mentioned above, the pretransplant LFS likely provides a global measure of a patient's physiologic status. Any preexisting condition that leads to a significantly decreased pretransplant physiologic state and the requirement of a TBI-based conditioning regimen would confound the potential relationship between the pretransplant LFS and conditioning regimens. An example of this might be an advanced malignancy that has required intense radiation to the chest region. However, a potential alternate explanation for these results is that patients with a higher pretransplant LFS are less able to tolerate the potential pulmonary effects associated with a TBI-based regimen. There are several other important considerations when interpreting our results. First, our findings were based only on the presence or absence of abnormal lung function before transplant. We did not attempt to determine the causes of the abnormal pretransplant lung function. Although these data may be interesting, our database was not complete in this regard. This issue may be more effectively addressed in a prospective study. Second, due to the lack of complete records for GVHD prophylaxis, our study did not consider the influence of this variable in the multivariate analysis, which may have influenced the hazard ratios associated with the pretransplant LFS. Finally, although the LFS mortality curve (Figure 1D) suggested this score may be a pretransplant predictor of a patient's risk for these outcomes, the current analysis does not take into account the many other variables that may influence mortality risk, such as other organ dysfunction before transplant. However, these results indicate that future studies will need to validate the use of the pretransplant LFS as a predictor of mortality, in a setting where other potential pretransplant risk factors are also considered in an integrated model. Our current study confirms that compromised pretransplant lung function is a significant risk factor for the development of early respiratory failure and mortality after allogeneic HCT. This is likely because PFTs provide a sensitive but nonspecific measure of the patient's pretransplant physiologic state and comorbid illnesses, which can significantly impact a patient's mortality risk after HCT (22). Because an individual's risk of mortality is likely determined by many variables in addition to the baseline lung function, future studies should consider the development of an accurate HCT risk assessment score that incorporates several key parameters, including FEV1 and DLCO, to provide an integrated measure of a patient's pretransplant risk for post-transplant mortality.
Supported by National Institutes of Health grants 1R01 HL71914-01, 1K23HL69860-01, HL36444, CA18029, CA78902, and CA15704; an American Lung Association of Washington Research grant; and the Amy Strelzer Manasevit Research Award from the National Marrow Donor Program. D.H.A. is supported by a VA Health Services Research and Development Career Development Award. Conflict of Interest Statement: None of the authors have a financial relationship with a commercial entity that has an interest in the subject of this manuscript. Received in original form February 10, 2005; accepted in final form May 10, 2005
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ABSTRACT
METHODS
12 or > 12 Gy). The non–TBI-based regimens were subgrouped according to use of busulfan (4 mg/kg/day for 4 consecutive days) or targeted busulfan (4 mg/kg/day for 4 consecutive days, target of 600–900 ng/ml). Acute graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) was graded based on stages of organ involvement using standard criteria and categorized as "no" (grades 0–II) or "yes" (grades III–IV), as previously reported (
2 tests. The rates of developing early respiratory failure and mortality according to lung function parameters were estimated using Kaplan-Meier curves and assessed using the log-rank test. Each PFT parameter was analyzed in independent multivariable Cox proportional hazard models that included other variables found to be significant in forward and backward stepwise analyses. Development of acute and chronic GVHD and disease relapse were included as time-dependent covariates. The proportional hazard assumption was tested using Schoenfeld residuals. Correlation (r) between FEV1, FVC, TLC, and DLCO was assessed by including all of these variables into the respiratory failure and mortality models described above and assessing the correlation between the coefficients of these parameters. 
