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Am. J. Respir. Crit. Care Med., Volume 159, Number 2, February 1999, 365-372

Oxygen Saturation, Pulse Rate, and Particulate Air Pollution
A Daily Time-Series Panel Study

C. ARDEN POPE III, DOUGLAS W. DOCKERY, RICHARD E. KANNER, G. MARTIN VILLEGAS, and JOEL SCHWARTZ

Harvard School of Public Health; Channing Laboratory, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massuchusetts; Brigham Young University, Provo; and University of Utah School of Medicine, Salt Lake City, Utah

    ABSTRACT
TOP
ABSTRACT
INTRODUCTION
METHODS
RESULTS
DISCUSSION
REFERENCES

Although epidemiological studies have linked particulate air pollution with cardiopulmonary mortality, underlying biological mechanisms remain largely unknown. Unexplored pathophysiological pathways include transient declines in blood oxygenation and/or changes in cardiac rhythm following particulate exposure. In this study, blood oxygen saturation using pulse oximetry (SpO2) and pulse rate were measured daily on a panel of 90 elderly subjects during the winter of 1995-1996 in Utah Valley. Associations of SpO2 and pulse rate with respirable particulate pollution (particles with an aerodynamic diameter =< a nominal 10 µm [PM10]) were evaluated. SpO2 was not consistently associated with PM10. Pulse rate and the odds of the pulse rate being elevated by 5 or 10 beats per minute (beats/min) were associated with PM10 on the previous 1 to 5 d. A 100 µg/m3 increase in previous-day PM10 was associated with an average increase of 0.8 beats/min and 29 and 95% increased odds of the pulse rate being elevated by 5 or 10 beats/min, respectively. Although there was little evidence of pollution-related hypoxia, alterations in pulse rate could reflect cardiac rhythm changes and may be part of the pathophysiology linking particles to cardiopulmonary mortality. The observed lag structure is consistent with particulate-induced pulmonary inflammation and cytokine release, but the biological relevance requires further study.

    INTRODUCTION
TOP
ABSTRACT
INTRODUCTION
METHODS
RESULTS
DISCUSSION
REFERENCES

Increases in respiratory and cardiovascular morbidity and mortality that accompanied episodes of extreme air pollution earlier in this century demonstrated that air pollution can adversely affect human health (1). More recent investigations of health effects of particulate air pollution include daily time-series studies that observed changes in daily mortality associated with short-term changes in particulate air pollution at relatively low concentrations. These pollution-mortality studies have been conducted in more than 30 cities in the United States, Europe, and other parts of the world (1). When cause of death was evaluated, particulate air pollution was associated with both respiratory and cardiovascular mortality, but generally not with mortality due to other causes. Recent prospective cohort studies observed that long-term exposure to fine particulate air pollution was associated with an increased risk of mortality, primarily cardiopulmonary mortality (4, 5). Epidemiological investigations have also observed that particulate pollution is associated with respiratory and cardiovascular hospital admissions (6).

Several reviews of the epidemiological evidence linking particle air pollution with cardiopulmonary mortality and morbidity suggest that the estimated effects have been reasonably consistent and coherent (1). It has been hypothesized that particulate air pollution (especially ultrafine particles) may provoke alveolar inflammation, resulting in the release of potentially harmful cytokines (3). Nevertheless, the underlying mechanisms or pathways of particle-induced mortality and morbidity still remain largely unknown. A general pathophysiological pathway linking particulate air pollution and cardiopulmonary death might be pollution-induced lung damage (potentially including oxidative lung damage and inflammation) declines in lung function, respiratory distress, and hypoxia. Recent studies have reported evidence of particulate-related pulmonary inflammation (10) and small transient decreases in lung function measured daily in panels of children and asthmatic patients (11). Studies of pollution-related hypoxia or elevated pulse rate after exposures to particulate air pollution have not been reported.

The primary objective of this study was to evaluate potential associations of daily measures of respirable particulate air pollution with acute changes in oxygen saturation of the blood (measured by pulse oximetry, SpO2) in panels of elderly adults. A secondary objective was to evaluate potential associations between pollution exposure and changes in pulse rate. The performance of the pulse oximeters and the ability to observe daily changes in oxygen saturation and pulse rate associated with changes in barometric pressure were also evaluated.

    METHODS
TOP
ABSTRACT
INTRODUCTION
METHODS
RESULTS
DISCUSSION
REFERENCES

Study Period and Area

The data collection period for this study was from November 18, 1995 through March 15, 1996. This study was conducted in Utah Valley in central Utah (Figure 1). During low-level temperature inversion episodes common to winter months, particulate concentrations become elevated when local emissions become trapped in a stagnant air mass near the valley floor. Sources of particulate air pollution included an integrated steel mill, motor vehicle emissions, and wood smoke. The study area is approximately 1,400 m above sea level. In elderly people at this altitude, normal partial pressure of oxygen in arterial blood is 55 to 67 mm Hg (16). This may provide a better opportunity to test for acute effects on oxygen saturation as declines in partial pressure of oxygen (PO2) will cause greater relative declines in SpO2 than would be seen at lower altitudes owing to the shape of the oxyhemoglobin dissociation curve.


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Figure 1.   Study area, Utah Valley.

Subject Selection and Recruitment

Two panels were selected for the study. The first panel was a "private home panel" which included 50 retired Brigham Young University faculty, staff, and spouses plus two additional participants who met the eligibility requirements. Participation was limited to elderly persons who met the following eligibility requirements: (1) lived with spouse; (2) were willing to participate; (3) lived near air pollution monitors for PM10 (particles with an aerodynamic diameter =< a nominal 10 µm) (Figure 1); (4) had homes without special air filtration systems; (5) were nonsmokers and had smoked less than 10 packs of cigarettes in their lifetime; and (6) had no serious medical condition that would preclude their participation, including mental illness, being currently under oxygen therapy, or having had heart failure in the last 6 mo. The number of home sites equaled 26 with 52 participants in the private home panel.

The second panel was a "retirement home panel" consisting of residents of a retirement home, located east of the steel mill and the Orem PM10 monitor (Figure 1). All residents of this home were nonsmokers. They were retired elderly individuals who were relatively independent and not in need of regular medical/nursing care. Residents lived in one large building as couples or individually in separate units that included bedrooms, a bathroom, a kitchen/dining area, and a living room. Although they could eat in their own units, most of the residents ate together in a common dining area. Thirty-eight of these residents were also selected as participants. A much more detailed description of the study is provided in a report to the Health Effects Institute (17).

Materials and Methods

Research protocol and consent forms were approved by institutional review boards for human subjects at Brigham Young University, University of Utah School of Medicine, and Harvard School of Public Health. Each home received a Nellcor N-20P pulse oximeter with finger sensor and printer (Nellcor Inc., Hayward, CA). This pulse oximeter measures SpO2 based on the transmission of light in two wavelengths through a vascular bed, the index finger. The pulsatile flow of blood through the tissue bed modulates the light reaching the detector. Some measurement error can be produced by dyshemoglobins, such as carboxyhemoglobin, or conditions that reduce the amplitude of the arterial pulsations, such as hypertension or ischemia. Pulse rate is also measured. The pulse oximeters printed out both SpO2 and pulse rate. Participants also received a customized bound folder with health diaries, envelopes for oximeter printouts, copies of consent forms, and necessary information and instructions. Participants measured their SpO2 and pulse rate twice daily (unless out of town), shortly after rising in the morning and before breakfast, and before retiring to bed. Also, each night before retiring to bed they completed their health diaries indicating the presence of various symptoms.

When measuring SpO2 and pulse rate, participants sampled in the continuous operating mode for approximately 3 min. At the end of the sample, average pulse rate and SpO2 over the entire interval were printed along with date and time. After writing their name or an identification number on the printout, the printouts were placed in the envelope attached to their diary. Before starting each test, participants were instructed to remain sitting at rest for at least 1 min and to remain still throughout the test. They were also instructed to use the left index finger to keep uniformity and to avoid the presence of bright light sources. Some participants had to remove fingernail polish. Approximately 7 d after the initial visit, research assistants made follow-up visits to interview the participants, evaluate compliance, test the performance of the oximeter, identify any problems, and collect the printouts from the oximeters. Follow-up visits for the same purposes were conducted every 2 wk throughout the study period.

Similar protocols were used for measuring SpO2 levels and pulse rates of participants at the retirement home. The primary differences were that these participants only took measurements once each day between 5:00 and 7:00 P.M., and they were always assisted by a research assistant assigned to the retirement home. The research assistant would set up three pulse oximeters in a room adjacent to the dining area and participants would stop in before or after their evening meal. The subjects would be seated and have the 3-min measurement taken. The oximeter printout would then be labeled and filed by the research assistant. Symptom diaries were not completed for the retirement home panel.

Quality Control

The Nellcor N-20P pulse oximeter determines pulse rate and functional SpO2 (oxygenated hemoglobin expressed as a percentage of the hemoglobin that is capable of transporting oxygen). It is automatically calibrated each time it is turned on or whenever a new sensor is connected. The oximeter sets sensor-specific calibration coefficients by reading a calibration resistor in the sensor. Each pulse oximeter was tested for accuracy once each month with an SRC-2 pulse oximeter tester (Nellcor Inc.). Also, during follow-up visits a control pulse oximeter was brought to each home and a 3-min test was run on each participant using the control oximeter on the right hand's index finger, and the participant's oximeter on the left hand's index finger. Both oximeter readings were printed and compared for consistency. After collection, data were sorted, checked, and photocopied, and entered as computer files. Computer data files were proofread independently twice and checked by computer for consistency and congruity with known parameters.

Pollution and Weather Data

Air pollution monitoring was conducted by the Utah State Department of Health. Daily PM10 data were collected in accordance with the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's reference method (18) at three sites in the valley---Lindon, Provo, and Orem monitoring sites (Figure 1). Measures of PM10 were available for 85%, 90%, and 94% of the days at the Lindon, Orem, and Provo monitoring sites, respectively. Monitoring of carbon monoxide (CO) was conducted at five sites in the valley, including daily 24-h average and 8-h high CO levels. Limited monitoring indicated very low concentrations of sulfur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and wintertime ozone (O3).

Weather data were obtained from a weather station at Brigham Young University (Figure 1). High and low temperatures, high and low relative humidity, and barometric pressure at 5:00 P.M. local time were collected for each day in the study period. Barometric pressure readings were reported by the weather station in inches of mercury adjusted to sea level. For this analysis, barometric pressure values were back converted to millimeters of mercury (mm Hg) indicating actual barometric pressure at the valley floor (i.e., not adjusted to sea level values).

Statistical Methods

Key variables were plotted together over time. Pearson correlation coefficients between SpO2, pulse rate, pollution variables, and weather variables were calculated to evaluate simple pairwise correlations. PM10 levels at the three different monitoring sites were similar and highly correlated over the study period. Therefore, in most of the analytic plots and statistical analyses, PM10 levels averaged across available data from the three sites were used except for 2 d with no monitored data. On these 2 d PM10 was estimated by simple linear extrapolation.

Fixed-effects autoregressive multiple regression models were estimated. Values of SpO2 and pulse rate were regressed on indicator variables for each participant and the time-dependent covariates including pollution, barometric pressure, and other weather variables. Temperature and relative humidity were divided into quintile ranges, and indicator variables for quintiles of temperature and relative humidity were included in the models. To evaluate potential lagged relationships, various lagged moving average models were estimated. Because statistically significant (p < 0.05) autocorrelation was observed, first-order autoregressive models were estimated using the maximum likelihood estimation method (19). Models were also estimated after stratifying the data by health status, sex, and age.

The mean pulse rate across the full study period was calculated for each participant. Binary variables were created to indicate days when pulse rate was elevated by more than 5 or 10 beats per minute (beats/ min) greater than the study period mean for the participant. These binary high pulse rate event variables and symptom variables were analyzed by estimating fixed effects logistic regression models with the same control variables as described earlier (20).

    RESULTS
TOP
ABSTRACT
INTRODUCTION
METHODS
RESULTS
DISCUSSION
REFERENCES

Compliance and Oximeter Performance

Table 1 provides summary information about the participants in the study and oximetry data collected. The participants were elderly and the majority suffered from heart or lung disease, or both. Although daily symptoms data were not collected for the retirement home participants, daily health diary data collected from the home panel reflected chronic disease with little daily variability in symptoms. Based on logistic regressions using these limited daily symptoms data, statistically significant positive associations between symptoms and PM10 were not consistently observed (17). The SpO2, and pulse rate measures for the private home panel were 88% complete. Measures for the retirement home panel were 74% complete. There was never an occasion during the study period when there was evidence that any of the oximeters failed to operate properly. When coreadings of SpO2 and pulse rate with the study oximeters and the control oximeter were compared, the readings were identical or only one digit different 93 and 99% of the time, respectively. Never were the SpO2 or pulse rate control comparisons different by more than 3% or 3 beats/ min, respectively. Control tests using the Nellcor SRC-2 pulse oximeter tester indicated that, based on manufacturer's specifications, none of the oximeters ever failed the quality control tests for either SpO2 or pulse rate.

                              
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TABLE 1

SUMMARY INFORMATION ABOUT THE PARTICIPANTS IN  THE STUDY* AND OXIMETRY DATA COLLECTED

Figure 2 presents plots of daily concentrations of PM10 at each of the three monitors and CO concentrations at the South Orem monitor over the study period. Also presented in this figure are barometric pressure and the mean nighttime/ evening SpO2 readings for participants in both panels. As can be seen in Figure 2, the PM10 levels at the three monitoring sites were nearly the same and were highly correlated. Pearson correlation coefficients (r) between PM10 levels at the three sites equaled 0.92 to 0.96. PM10 was less strongly correlated with carbon monoxide levels (r = 0.61 to 0.76) and barometric pressure (r = 0.38 to 0.48).


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Figure 2.   PM10, CO, barometric pressure, and mean SpO2 values plotted over days in the study period.

Associations with Oxygen Saturation

An association between mean SpO2 and barometric pressure was observed (Figure 2). The most robust result for SpO2 from the various regression models was the positive highly statistically significant relationship between SpO2 and barometric pressure (Table 2). This association was consistent across models and was not affected by the inclusion of other covariates in the models. The estimated effect of barometric pressure (25 mm Hg) on SpO2, depending on other covariates included in the models, ranged from 0.59% (SE = 0.08) to 0.69% (SE = 0.07). Also, no lag structure was observed for barometric pressure. The estimated effect of barometric pressure on SpO2 appeared to be due to concurrent day's barometric pressure.

                              
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TABLE 2

REGRESSION COEFFICIENTS (AND STANDARD ERRORS) FOR SpO2  AND PULSE RATE ON PM10 (×100) AND CONCURRENT-DAY  BAROMETRIC PRESSURE (×25) USING DIFFERENT  LAGGED MODELS FOR PM10*

Consistent, statistically significant associations between SpO2 and PM10 were not observed. Concurrent day PM10 levels were often positively associated with SpO2. Measured SpO2 was generally negatively associated with previous day and 5-d lagged moving average PM10, but the estimated effect was small (Table 2) and generally not statistically significant. For some of the strata, most notably male participants who were 80 yr old or older, the negative association between SpO2 and PM10 was statistically significant. Estimated effects of PM10 or barometric pressure on SpO2 were not sensitive to the inclusion of weather variables in the regression models.

Including CO in the regression models resulted in slightly larger estimated effects of PM10 on SpO2 but the coefficients remained small and statistically insignificant. Coefficients on CO were positive, but small (approximately =< 0.02) and statistically insignificant (p > 0.10). Exposure to CO should falsely raise SpO2 slightly, as the oximeter cannot read carboxyhemoglobin and ignores it and, in addition, CO shifts the oxyhemoglobin dissociation curve to the left which increases SpO2 for a given PO2.

Associations with Pulse Rate

Figure 3 presents daily mean pulse rate for all the participants and the proportion of the participants with pulse rates more than 10 beats/min above their study-period mean pulse rate. These are both plotted with the previous day's PM10 concentrations across the days in the study period. A careful examination of Figure 3 indicates that there is much variability in pulse rate but also suggests that a small subtle positive association between pulse rate and PM10 concentrations may exist. Regression analysis confirms the existence of a small but statistically significant association between pulse rate and PM10 exposure. Table 2 presents the results of various regression models for pulse rate where PM10 is included in the models as concurrent day PM10, previous day PM10, and different lagged moving averages of PM10. Table 3 presents estimated odds ratios for pulse rate being elevated by 5 or 10 beats/min.


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Figure 3.   Daily mean pulse rate for all participants and the proportion of participants with pulse rates more than 10 beats/min above their study-period mean plotted with the previous day's PM10 levels across the day in the study period.

                              
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TABLE 3

ESTIMATED ODDS RATIOS AND 95% CONFIDENCE INTERVALS  OF PULSE RATE BEING ELEVATED BY 5 OR 10 BEATS/min  ASSOCIATED WITH A 100 µg/m3 INCREASE IN PM10*

A consistent result from the regression models was the negative statistically significant relationship between pulse rate and barometric pressure. A 25 mm Hg increase in barometric pressure was associated with an average decrease in pulse rate equal to approximately 1.5 beats/min. The estimated effect of barometric pressure on pulse rate was not highly affected by the inclusion of pollution variables in the models. The estimated effect of barometric pressure (25 mm Hg) without any pollution variable was -1.27 (SE = 0.47). Also, no clear lag structure was observed between barometric pressure and pulse rate. Barometric pressure's estimated effect on pulse rate appeared to be due to the concurrent day's barometric pressure.

Positive associations between pulse rate and PM10 were observed. Daily pulse rate was associated with exposure to particulate pollution on the previous 1 to 5 d. A 100 µg/m3 increase in previous day PM10 was associated with an average increase of 0.78 beats/min. Also, the odds of having pulse rate elevated by 5 or 10 beats/min was associated with exposure to particulate air pollution levels on the previous 1 to 5 d. A 100 µg/m3 increase in previous day PM10 was associated with an increase of 29% and 95% in the odds of experiencing an elevated pulse rate of 5 or 10 beats/min, respectively (Table 3). As with the analysis for SpO2, controlling for weather variables in the regression models had little impact on the estimated effects of PM10 or barometric pressure on pulse rate. Including concurrent-day CO in the regression models resulted in mostly unchanged or somewhat larger estimated effects of PM10 on pulse rate with negative but statistically insignificant coefficients on CO. When lagged CO levels were included in the models with PM10, the coefficients for both CO and PM10 were less stable, reflecting the collinearity between these two pollutants. Also, the estimated PM10 effect was generally strengthened with adjustment for barometric pressure.

    DISCUSSION
TOP
ABSTRACT
INTRODUCTION
METHODS
RESULTS
DISCUSSION
REFERENCES

Over the last several years, various studies specific to Utah Valley have evaluated the health effects of air pollution (21). As with the present study, previous studies used central site fixed monitors to measure ambient air pollution. Changes in ambient particulate air pollution levels at least partly reflect differences in personal exposures over time. Pollution levels at PM10 monitoring sites are highly correlated, suggesting that fine particulate air pollution is dispersed across the study area. Although the elderly participants spend most of their time in their homes, outdoor/in-home differences in particulate concentrations were reduced by including only homes without any smokers (including the retirement home) and homes without special air filtration systems.

This study evaluated declines in blood oxygenation or increases in pulse rate as potential pathways for previously observed cardiovascular mortality associated with particulate air pollution. Within the context of this basic objective, this study provides information regarding at least four questions of interest, as follows:

  1. How usable and reliable are the data from pulse oximetry in a study of this type? The performance and usability of the pulse oximeters were excellent. The oximeters were easy to use and well received by the participants. Printouts provided a ready way to check for compliance and collect hard copies of results. Quality control comparisons with control readings and test readings suggested that SpO2 and pulse rate measures were consistent and reproducible.
  2. Is the study design capable of observing small changes in SpO2 such as those associated with small daily changes in barometric pressure? Yes. The range of barometric pressure that occurred during the study period was only 26 mm Hg (635 to 661). Based on the estimated regression coefficients for barometric pressure, the mean increase in SpO2 that would be expected for an increase in barometric pressure equal to 26 mm Hg would be less than 1% (about 0.6%). This is approximately what would be expected at this point on the oxygen-hemoglobin dissociation (saturation) curve and given a comparable relative change in PO2 in the blood (approximately 2 mm Hg or about 0.12 volume percent [vol %] of oxygen).   Although the direction and size of the observed association between barometric pressure and SpO2 are reasonable, care must be taken not to overinterpret the results. Most oximeters, including Nellcor, read somewhat high at the upper end of the oxygen dissociation curve (22, 23). Also, the differences in SpO2 across this range of barometric pressure are much smaller than the differences in SpO2 across individuals in the study. However, in this study by looking at daily means across an entire cohort of participants, or by estimating fixed effects regression models, individual differences could be averaged out or controlled for in the analysis. These results suggest that barometric pressure might be considered as a relevant weather variable in daily time series studies of morbidity and mortality and air pollution. However, the relevance of the observed association between barometric pressure and SpO2 with respect to daily time-series studies of cardiopulmonary health requires further study.
  3. Are there observable declines in SpO2 after exposure to differing daily concentrations of particulate air pollution? Statistically significant negative associations with SpO2 and contemporaneous PM10 were not consistently observed. Small negative associations between SpO2 and 1- to 6-d lagged PM10 levels were observed, but for analysis that included all participants, observed associations between SpO2 and even lagged PM10 were not statistically significant. It was observed, in stratified analysis, that there were statistically significant associations between SpO2 and lagged PM10 levels for males participants 80 yr old or older, suggesting that the effects may be larger in older, less healthy individuals. Baseline testing of cardiac or pulmonary function may have provided more guidance as to the most sensitive subjects.
  4. Are there observable increases in pulse rate after exposure to differing daily concentrations of particulate air pollution? Yes. Daily pulse rate, as well as the odds of having a pulse rate elevated by more than 5 or 10 beats/min, were associated with exposure to particulate air pollution on the previous 1 to 5 d. The association between pulse rate and PM10 was small compared with the overall variability in pulse rate. In this study, however, pulse rate was obtained as integrated pulse rate over approximately 3 min using a pulse oximeter for 90 participants measured daily for 119 d. The use of aggregated data across the entire cohort of participants and the use of fixed effects regression models provided the opportunity to peer through the expected variability and observe and evaluate the subtle associations between pulse rate and particulate air pollution.

The importance of pulse has been emphasized in medicine for many centuries (24). Recent studies have observed that pulse rate is associated with hypertension, coronary heart disease, and mortality (25). Autonomic nervous system activated acutely elevated heart rate and blood viscosity along with decreased heart rate variability and reduced ventricular fibrillation threshold may also increase the likelihood of sudden cardiac death (32), but a role for fine particulate exposure is not documented. A recent study has observed increases in pulse rates of rats following exposure to elevated levels of particulate air pollution (33). Also in dogs, electrocardiogram (ECG) abnormalities were observed after exposure to fine particles (34). Although we are unaware of previously published studies that have evaluated potential associations between particulate air pollution and pulse rate in humans, air pollution was linked to elevated levels of plasma viscosity in both men and women living in Augsburg, Germany during an air pollution episode (35). The researchers speculated that "altered blood rheology due to inflammatory processes in the lung which induce an acute phase reaction might therefore be part of the pathological mechanisms linking air pollution to mortality." Within the context of treating plasma viscosity as an indicator for impaired blood flow properties, these results may be relevant to the present study. The results of this study suggest a lag structure of 1 to 5 d, consistent with the hypothesis that inflammatory responses to particulate pollution are involved (3) and that it takes a day or so before the inflammatory response and cytokine release are apparent.

In conclusion, this study provides little evidence of pollution-related hypoxia. The observed associations between elevated pulse rate and previous exposure to particulate air pollution are the most intriguing findings of this study. Nevertheless, the medical or biological relevance of these observed increases in pulse rate after exposure to particulate air pollution remains unclear. If there is a nonspurious association between particulate air pollution and elevated pulse rate, it is almost certainly only a part of substantially complex pathological mechanisms linking air pollution to cardiopulmonary mortality.

    Footnotes

Correspondence and requests for reprints should be addressed to Dr. C. Arden Pope, III, 142 FOB, Brigham Young University, Provo, UT 84602.

(Received in original form February 25, 1997 and in revised form August 27, 1998).

Acknowledgments: Supported by Health Effects Institute, Cambridge, MA.
    References
TOP
ABSTRACT
INTRODUCTION
METHODS
RESULTS
DISCUSSION
REFERENCES

1. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. 1996. U.S. Air Quality Criteria for Particulate Matter. EPA/600/P-95/001cF. Washington, DC.

2. Pope, C. A., III, and D. W. Dockery. 1998. Epidemiology of particle effects. In S. T. Holgate, H. Koren, R. Maynard, and J. Samet, editors. Air Pollutants and Effects on Health. Academic Press, London. (In press)

3. Seaton, A., W. MacNee, K. Donaldson, and D. Godden. 1995. Particulate air pollution and acute health effects. Lancet 345: 176-178 [Medline].

4. Dockery, D. W., C. A. Pope III, X. Xu, J. D. Spengler, J. H. Ware, M. E. Fay, B. G. Ferris, and F. E. Speizer. 1993. An association between air pollution and mortality in six U.S. cities. N. Engl. J. Med. 329: 1753-1759 [Abstract/Free Full Text].

5. Pope, C. A. III, M. J. Thun, M. M. Namboodiri, D. W. Dockery, J. S. Evans, F. E. Speizer, and C. W. Heath. 1995. Particulate air pollution as a predictor of mortality in a prospective study of U.S. adults. Am. J. Respir. Crit. Care Med. 151: 669-674 [Abstract].

6. Schwartz, J., and R. Morris. 1995. Air pollution and hospital admissions for cardiovascular disease in Detroit, Michigan. Am. J. Epidemiol. 142: 23-35 [Abstract/Free Full Text].

7. Schwartz, J.. 1997. Air pollution and hospital admissions for cardiovascular disease in Tucson. Epidemiol. 8: 371-377 [Medline].

8. Burnett, R., R. E. Dales, D. Krewski, R. Vincent, T. Dann, and J. R. Brook. 1995. Associations between ambient particulate sulfate and admissions to Ontario hospitals for cardiac and respiratory diseases. Am. J. Epidemiol. 142: 15-22 [Abstract/Free Full Text].

9. Poloniecki, J. D., R. W. Atkinson, A. P. de Leon, and H. R. Anderson. 1997. Daily time series for cardiovascular hospital admissions and previous day's air pollution in London, UK. Occup. Environ. Med. 54: 535-540 [Abstract/Free Full Text].

10. Souza, M. B., P. H. N. Saldiva, C. A. Pope III, and V. L. Capelozzi. 1998. Respiratory changes due to long-term exposure to urban levels of air pollution: a histopathologic study in humans. Chest 113: 1312-1318 [Abstract/Free Full Text].

11. Pope, C. A. III, D. W. Dockery, J. D. Spengler, and M. E. Raizenne. 1991. Respiratory health and PM10 pollution: a daily time series analysis. Am. Rev. Respir. Dis. 144: 668-674 [Medline].

12. Pope, C. A. III, and D. W. Dockery. 1992. Acute health effects of PM10 pollution on symptomatic and asymptomatic children. Am. Rev. Respir. Dis. 145: 1123-1128 [Medline].

13. Romieu, I., F. Meneses, S. Ruiz, J. J. Sierra, J. Huerta, M. C. White, and R. A. Etzel. 1996. Effects of air pollution on the respiratory health of asthmatic children living in Mexico City. Am. J. Respir. Crit. Care Med. 154: 300-307 [Abstract].

14. Peters, A., H. E. Wichmann, T. Tuch, J. Heinrich, and J. Heyder. 1997. Respiratory effects are associated with the number of ultrafine particles. Am. J. Respir. Crit. Care Med. 155: 1376-1383 [Abstract].

15. Vedal, S., J. Petkau, R. White, and J. Blair. 1998. Acute effects of ambient inhalable particles in asthmatic and nonasthmatic children. Am. J. Respir. Crit. Care Med 157: 1034-1043 [Abstract/Free Full Text].

16. Morris, A. H., R. E. Kanner, R. O. Crapo, and R. M. Gardner. 1984. Clinical Pulmonary Function Testing: A Manual of Uniform Laboratory Procedures. Intermountain Thoracic Society, Salt Lake City, UT.

17. Dockery, D. W., C. A. Pope III, R. E. Kanner, G. M. Villegas, and J. Schwartz. 1998. Daily Changes in Oxygen Saturation and Pulse Rate Associated with Particulate Air Pollution And Barometric Pressure. Health Effects Institute, Boston, MA.

18. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. 1987. Revisions to the national ambient air quality standards for particulate matter. Fed. Reg. 52(126, July 1):24634-24669.

19. SAS Institute. 1988. SAS/ETS User's Guide, Version 6. SAS Institute Inc., Cary, NC.

20. Cox, D. R., and E. J. Snell. 1989. Analysis of Binary Data, 2nd ed. Chapman and Hall, London.

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