Published ahead of print on December 10, 2009, doi:10.1164/rccm.200907-1079OC
© 2010 American Thoracic Society doi: 10.1164/rccm.200907-1079OC
Increased Fraction of Exhaled Nitric Oxide Predicts New-Onset Wheeze in a General Population1 Occupational and Environmental Medicine, 2 Cardiovascular Disease, and 3 Community Medicine, Institute of Medicine, Sahlgrenska Academy, Gothenburg, Sweden; and 4 Department of Biostatistics, Faculty of Medicine, University of Oslo, Norway Correspondence and requests for reprints should be addressed to Anna-Carin Olin, M.D., Occupational and Environmental Medicine, Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Box 414, SE 405 30 Göteborg, Sweden. E-mail: Anna-Carin.Olin{at}amm.gu.se Rationale: Fraction of exhaled nitric oxide (FENO) is regarded as a marker of airway inflammation. It is unknown whether increased FENO in respiratorily healthy subjects increases the risk of developing wheeze. Objectives: To examine if increased levels of FENO predicts later onset of wheeze. Methods: We followed up 2,200 men and women from a general population–based study. At baseline, the subjects were investigated with questionnaires, blood samples, pulmonary function tests, and FENO. At follow-up 4 years later, all subjects were mailed a respiratory questionnaire. The association between incident wheeze and baseline levels of FENO over the 90th percentile were evaluated calculating hazard ratios using Cox regression models adjusted for smoking habits, age, height, sex, and atopy. Measurements and Main Results: The follow-up questionnaire was completed by 1,896 subjects (86.2%). All subjects reporting wheeze, asthma, or asthma symptoms at baseline were excluded resulting in a study population of 1,506 subjects. Of these, 49 subjects reported new-onset wheeze. The median concentration of FENO at baseline was significantly higher among those with new-onset wheeze (18.8 ppb vs. 15.8 ppb, P = 0.03). In a Cox regression model including all subjects, FENO over the 90th percentile predicted onset of wheeze (hazard ratio 2.7; 95% confidence interval, 1.4–5.4). In stratified models, this was most apparent among never-smokers and in atopic subjects, for whom the odds ratios were higher. Conclusions: Our results indicate that increased FENO is associated with an increased risk of developing wheeze. The results also support the hypothesis that increased level of FENO among subjects without respiratory symptoms is a sign of subclinical airways inflammation.
Key Words: exhaled nitric oxide new-onset wheeze airways inflammation epidemiology longitudinal
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