Am. J. Respir. Crit. Care Med., Vol 154, No. 2, Aug 1996, 431-435.
Seasonal variation in sudden infant death syndrome and bronchiolitis--a common mechanism?
R Gupta, PJ Helms, IT Jolliffe and AS Douglas
University Department of Child Health, University of Aberdeen, Scotland, United Kingdom.
The purpose of this study was to compare epidemiologic features of sudden
infant death syndrome (SIDS) and bronchiolitis and to apply statistical
examination in order to examine the hypothesis that similar mechanisms
could be at work in both conditions. The setting was Scotland from 1982
through 1990. We compared 1,211 deaths from SIDS with 10,058 hospital
admissions for bronchiolitis in infancy. The comparisons included age, sex
ratio, and seasonality. The sex ratios were similar (SIDS [M:F]:1.61:1;
bronchiolitis: 1.63:1), but age distribution was different (chi 2 = 104.6,
p < 0.001). When monthly rates throughout the year were compared using
correlation of residuals from average season variation and by
autocorrelation of residual series, no significant relationships were found
between the two conditions (r2 = 0.0004). Once the seasonal pattern common
to both conditions was accounted for, SIDS was not autocorrelated between
months whereas bronchiolitis exhibited a high level of autocorrelation
indicating an epidemic pattern for the latter but not for the former. While
a common seasonal variation may indicate some shared etiologic factors
associated with winter season, the two conditions do not appear to be
closely related. The hypothesis that a common host susceptibility is at
work is not supported. Further investigations of seasonal influences are
warranted.