Am. J. Respir. Crit. Care Med., Vol 151, No. 5, 05 1995, 1472-1480.
Exercise capacity as a predictor of postoperative complications in lung resection candidates
CT Bolliger, P Jordan, M Soler, P Stulz, E Gradel, K Skarvan, S Elsasser, M Gonon, C Wyser and M Tamm
Department of Internal Medicine, University Hospital, Basel, Switzerland.
Exercise testing with measurement of maximal oxygen uptake (VO2max) is
increasingly used in the assessment of lung resection candidates, but its
predictive value for postoperative complications remains controversial. We
therefore sought to determine the prognostic value of VO2max compared with
other pulmonary function tests. A consecutive group of 80 patients (mean
age 61 yr; 57 males and 23 females) scheduled for lung resection (62
malignancies, 12 benign disorders, and 6 carcinoids) underwent pulmonary
function tests and symptom-limited cycle ergometry. All patients underwent
lung resections: 21 pneumonectomies, 45 lobectomies, and 14 segmental or
wedge resections. Group A (64 patients, 80%) had an uneventful
postoperative course, whereas Group B (16 patients, 20%) had complications;
3 of them died (4% overall mortality rate). In a stepwise logistic
regression analysis used to determine independent risk factors for
postoperative complications (within 30 d), VO2max expressed as a percentage
of predicted (84 +/- 19 for Group A versus 61 +/- 11 for Group B) proved to
be the best predictor (predictive value 85.5%). Although VO2max expressed
in absolute values (ml/kg/min) was also highly predictive (79.5%), a ROC
curve analysis proved the percentage predicted values to be significantly
more sensitive. Of 9 patients with a VO2max < 60% of predicted, 8 had
complications, including all 3 patients who died after resections of more
than one lobe (sensitivity 50%, specificity 98%). The estimated probability
(probit model SAS software package) of suffering no complication was 0.9
for VO2max > 75% of predicted and 0.1 for a VO2max < 43%.(ABSTRACT
TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)
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Copyright © 1995 American Thoracic Society
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