Am. J. Respir. Crit. Care Med., Vol 151, No. 2, Feb 1995, 345-352.
Assessment of the severity of asthma by an expert system. Description and evaluation
H Redier, JP Daures, C Michel, H Proudhon, D Vervloet, D Charpin, J Marsac, D Dusser, C Brambilla and B Wallaert
Clinique des Maladies Respiratoires, Hopital Arnaud de Villeneuve, Montpellier, France.
Asthmaexpert, an expert system (ES), was produced at the special request of
several clinicians in order to better understand the medical decisions made
clinical experts in managing an asthmatic patient. We describe and evaluate
this knowledge base, focusing mainly on assessment of the severity of
asthma. After compiling data from a patient, Asthmaexpert assesses the
severity of the disease and identifies the trigger factors involved,
suggests any further investigations that may be required, and offers a
treatment strategy. Implemented with Nexpert and Hypercard, it runs on a
MacIntosh personal computer. The validation stage involved eight clinical
experts who provided 20 case report forms (CRF) with their conclusions
about management of asthma. The CRF were then programmed into the ES, which
provided its own conclusions about the same subjects. Afterward, all the
experts evaluated the conclusions given by ES or by their colleagues in a
double-blind manner. One hundred twenty-seven CRF were available. The
reliability of the experts' opinions was good, with a substantial consensus
between them when assessing severity scores (kappa = 0.27 to 0.54). There
was no difference in concordance of opinions on severity scores either
between the experts who designed the system and ES or between the other
experts and ES (weighted kappa = 0.72 and 0.69, respectively). Experts
judged that the severity scores given by ES were as good as those proposed
by their colleagues, and that the overall conclusions given by ES were as
good as or better than those given by their colleagues. The conclusions
drawn by ES were given a good rating.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)
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Copyright © 1995 American Thoracic Society
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